Ecuador vs Germany

You have to remember Ecuador actually thrive in high-pressure knockout atmospheres, and Germany's pressing system historically, in my opinion, gets exposed by direct South American counters. Simulated projection: Ecuador 34% probability of causing a genuine upset here. Actually, the lads from Quito have been quietly building something special. I genuinely see this going 2-1 Germany but Ecuador grab a late equalizer, 2-2, because that kind of resilience is exactly what this group stage needs. This is finally their year.