Argentina vs Algeria

You have to remember Algeria have actually been brilliant in Group J warm-up patterns — simulated projection gives them a 34.7% upset probability, which is actually massive. But Argentina, the lads, they have Messi-era DNA running through this squad still. Actually, the last four times a North African side faced South American opposition in fictional group stage simulations, the margins were razor thin. My projection: Argentina 2-1 Algeria, but actually Algeria could genuinely shock everyone. This is finally their year too.